Eurocontrol - Bizav up 2%

Wednesday, 12 August 2020

Traffic Situation & Airlines Recovery  15,660 flights on Tuesday 11 August (+11% and +1,561 flights compared to Tuesday 28 July) reaching 45% of 2019 levels. Noticeable schedules increases recorded on holiday destinations as of the beginning of August. Traffic growth rates are however less important week on week.  Friday 7 August was peak traffic day since the end of March with 18,147 flights, 50.6% of the 2019 levels.  With the Summer period, Mediterranean destinations (Spain, Italy, Greece and Turkey) record solid growth rates as they continue to attract tourists.  On average, Load Factors (LF) for main European airlines in July are far below July 2019 levels ; however, LF can reach last year’s levels on holiday destinations (eg 90% reported by Austrian Airlines).  New cases in some countries have led to travel restrictions being continued or re-imposed. It is likely that this will lead to ad-hoc cancellations.  Traffic development in Europe in August so far is (-52%) in line with the EUROCONTROL “coordinated” scenario.  Ryanair remains the busiest carrier with 1,473 flights on 11 August (+53% on 28 July) followed by easyJet (885 flights, +62%), Turkish Airlines (608 flights, +3%), Wizz Air (521 flights, +19%) and Lufthansa (436 flights, +12%). KLM recorded the biggest growth (+80%) increasing capacities all over Europe.  Business Aviation has reached 2% above 2019 levels (on 8 August) thanks to the record interest from customers completely new to travel by private jet. All-cargo stable at 5% above last year’s levels. Low-cost, still 51% below 2019 levels, is recovering slightly faster than Traditional (63% below).  The latest European NOP 2020 Recovery Plan expects traffic to be, potentially, close to 60% of the 2019 levels on peak days by September. This outlook is highly dependent on the evolution of State restrictions. As a result of some increases in new cases, some State restrictions have been imposed/re-instated.